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A popular way of making a profit by professional gamblers is to create a 'tissue' price for each horse. This is not supposed to be an accurate prediction of the SP's or odds available. It is supposed to be a reflection of the true chance of each horse - in your opinion. You should not be scared of being very different to the RP forecast or exchange prices. any horse can be a back or lay at the right price and so I construct my own tissue prices for as many races as time allows. I usually focus on Handicaps for older horses. I can't price up a field of unraced horses so I don't try. I then back or lay horses that are significantly different from my tissue. Some judgement is required - if a gambling stable has an unexposed runner, then I would not lay it etc. Calculation of Profit and Loss
There are a number of ways of assessing the performance of a tissue but I think
the following way is fair. The tissue will always be close to 100% a is the
Betfair SP. It seems fair then, to compare the 2. Both the Betfair and the
Tissue prices will be converted into the nearest whole % point and for each %
point that the tissue price is bigger than the Betfair price, then 1 point will
be staked at the Betfair SP. For example – a tissue price of 4/1 vs a Betfair
SP of 10 (9/1) would mean that 20% - 10% = +10 points at 9/1 would be staked. It
will be the case that a number of horses in each race are likely to be backed ad
the total race profit will be shown by each race with the running total at the
top of the page. Note that the final edition tissue will be used.
NEW! ENHANCED TISSUE vs EXCHANGE BETTING TOOL - See Services Offered Page 4.15 Perth (13-July) 1. ORMELLO 10/3 Stake 19.00 Return 54.08 Profit +35.08 3.40 Perth (11-July)
1. BEN BRITTEN 9/1 Stake 14.00 Return 0.00 Profit -14.00 8.15 Hamilton (12-July) 1. DICKIE LE DAVOIR 5/1
2. BLAZING HEIGHTS 6/1
3. CHOOKIE HEITON 12/1
4. RASAMAN 3/1- Winner Betfair SP 9.6 (17/2)
5. METHAALY 14/1
6. ROTHESAY DANCER 7/2
7. HOWARDS TIPPLE 8/1
8. TOUS LE DEUX 33/1
Stake 16.00 Return +140.17 Profit +124.17 8.05 Chepstow (11-July)
1. TUDOR PRINCE 9/2 Stake 15.00 Return 0.00 Profit -16.00 6.50 Newton Abbot (22-Mar)
1. ANOTHER NATIVE 11/1 Stake 11.00 Return 19.20 Profit +8.20
3.30 Newton Abbot (22-Mar)
1. MR ED 6/1 Stake 10.00 Return 0.00 Profit -10.00
8.20 Wolves (15-Mar) 1.
RABBIT FIGHTER 7/2 Stake 16.00 Return 0.00 Profit -16.00 2.10 Lingfield (05-Mar). 1. KILLARD POINT 2/1 Stake 16.00 Return 0.00 Profit -16.00 9.20 Wolves (07-Mar) 1. DISTANT SUN 7/2
2. YUNGABURRA 33/1
3. BENLLECH 3/1
4. FINANCIAL TIMES 8/1- Winner Betfair SP 9.6 (17/2)
5. THE LORD 33/1
6. MISARO 11/1
7. CORNUS 14/1
8. MEMPHIS MAN 11/1
9. BEL CANTOR 7/1
Stake 20.00 Return 10.60 Profit -9.40 7.50 Wolves (07-Mar) 1. BRAMCOTE LORNE 11/4
2. TIDY 11/2
3. ATLANTIC GAMBLE 13/1- Winner Betfair SP 7.8 (13/2)
4. PEGASUS PRINCE 9/1
5. SPA WELLS 16/1
6. GRANARY GIRL 13/2
7. BOBERING 15/2
8. OVER ICE 15/2
9. UP DE CREEK 100/1
10. HILL OF CLARE 100/1
Stake 20.00 Return 0.00 Profit -20.00 6.50 Wolves (07-Mar) 1. CHEIF EXEC 3/1 Stake 11.00 Return 0.00 Profit -11.00 2.10 Lingfield (05-Mar). 1. ALNWICK 85/40 Stake 19.00 Return 51.60 Profit +32.60 8.50 Wolves (22-Feb) 1. PIRAN 25/1 Stake 17.00 Return 0.00 Profit -17.00 8.20 Wolves (22-Feb) 1.
GUILDENSTERN 4/1 6.50 Wolves (22-Feb)
1. KING OF THE MOORS 14/1 Stake 16.00 Return 48.95 Profit +32.95 8.20 Kempton
1. ROYAL FANTASY 7/2 Stake 22.00 Return 0.00 Profit -22.00 4.05 Lingfield
1. EBRAAM 85/40 Stake 16.00 Return 0.00 Profit -16.00 3.50 Uttoxeter (16-Feb)
1. SAINTSAIRE 3/1 Stake 14.00 Return 0.00 Profit -14.00 3.30 Lingfield (16-Feb) 1. BAYLINI 6/1 Stake 21.00 Return 0.00 Profit -21.00 2.55 Lingfield (16-Feb)
1. BAZART 28/1 Stake 17.00 Return 0.00 Profit -17.00 1.25 Fakenham (15-Feb)
1. DUNBRODY MILLAR 18/1 Stake 13.00 Return 0.00 Profit -13.00 6.50 Wolves (14-Feb) 1. LUJIANA 13/8 Stake 13.00 Return 12.07 Profit -0.93 3.50 Southwell (14-Feb) 1. SPOOF MASTER 2/1 Stake 17.00 Return 0.00 Profit -17.00 2.30 Kelso (14-Feb) 1. SPORTS EXPRESS 11/1
2. OLD NODDY 11/1
3. HIGH FIVE 9/1
4. DICKIE LEWIS 85/40- Winner Betfair SP 2.6 (6/4)
5. BENE LAD 13/2
6. SUPER BOSTON 33/1
7. WENSLEY BLUE 15/2
8. LETHEM PRESENT 12/1
9. TIPP MID WEST 100/1
10. SOLEMN VOW 18/1
Stake 17.00 Return 0.00 Profit -17.00 3.25 Chepstow (14-Feb) 1. KALCO MOME 5/1 Stake 7.00 Return 0.00 Profit -7.00 2.30 Kelso (14-Feb) 1. WATCH MY BACK 13/2
2. HUSH TIGER 11/2
3. DEE DEE TEE 8/1
4. BERWICK LAW 7/2
5. BRIGHT SPARKY 15/2
6. MIDNIGHT DIAMOND 18/1
7. LAMBRINI LEGEND 11/1- Winner Betfair SP 9 (8/1)
8. BOLLIN RUTH 15/2
9. MACHIATO 40/1
10. DANIEL'S DREAM 100/1
Stake 12.00 Return 0.00 Profit -12.00 1.40 Southwell (14-Feb) 1. TODWICK OWL 5/1
2. GENERAL FEELING 9/1
3. SIR BOND 5/1
4. TINA'S RIDGE 11/2
5. WELCOME RELEAF 8/1
6. ABBEYGATE 11/1
7. SPARKY VIXEN 17/2- Winner Betfair SP 10.05 (9/1)
8. GOVERNMENT 11/1
9. PAWN IN LIFE 18/1
Stake 16.00 Return 11.05 Profit -4.95 4.45 Lingfield 1.
SORREL POINT 9/1 Stake 17.00 Return 32.33 Profit +15.33 3.40 Lingfield 1.
LITTLEDODAYNO 13/1 3.30 Exeter 1. AZTEC WARRIOR 7/1 Stake 15.00 Return 24.42 Profit +9.42 2.00 Exeter
1. SILENCIO 16/1 Stake 10.00 Return 0.00 Profit -10.00 3.00 Warwick
1. HOH VISS 9/2 Stake 14.00 Return 0.00 Profit -14.00 1.45 Ayr 1. CLOUDY LANE Ev- Winner
Betfair
SP 2.14 (11/10) Stake 10.00 Return 6.42 Profit -3.58 1.45 Ayr 1. BALLABRIGGS 5/2 Stake 25.00 Return 24.00 Profit -1.00 1.30 Lingfield
1. NDOLA 5/2 Stake 19.00 Return 0.00 Profit -19.00 8.20 Wolves (08-Feb)
1. CRIMSON FERN 5/1 Stake 20.00 Return 9.80 Profit -10.20
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